Thursday, August 11, 2011

Wheat markets and weather, August 10, 2011

      Amid discussions of oil and pork, corn and soybeans, one evening market report found good news today in the wheat market:

"For wheat, the briefing is viewed as less crucial, causing an average move of $0.14 a bushel, with much of the US crop already in the barn by now.
'Still some optimism'
And, indeed, the grain managed movement denied its peers, in an upward direction too, helped by its newly-rediscovered competitiveness against Russian wheat on export markets.
"There is still some optimism regarding wheat exports and that has supported wheat today," Mr Holaday said.
Furthermore, while some dry southern US wheat areas have received much-needed rain, the western wheat areas received nothing", leaving winter wheat growers facing the prospect of poor soil conditions for planting.
And the Rosario Grain Exchange pegged Argentina's wheat crop at 12.5m tonnes, lower than the current USDA forecast of 15m tonnes, taking some of the sting out of another upgrade for the French crop, this time from official farm bureau FranceAgriMer.
Big tender 
There was also evidence of demand in wheat, with Saudi Arabia tendering for 660,000 tonnes of hard wheat.
Chicago (soft red winter) wheat for September added 2.0% to $6.85 a bushel, while Kansas (hard red winter) wheat for the same month closed up 2.9% at $7.85 a bushel.
Minneapolis hard red spring wheat gained 2.5% to $8.37 ¼ a bushel.
In Europe, Paris wheat for November added 0.8% to E195.00 a tonne, with London's November lot gaining 0.8% to £162.00 a tonne."

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